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On trade: a lot hinges on the Budget

Darren Norbury by Darren Norbury
15 November 2025
in UK Craft Beer
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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On-trade operators and suppliers ended October with a small drop in drinks sales as consumers kept a lid on their spending, CGA by NIQ’s Daily Drinks Tracker shows.

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Average sales in managed venues in the week to 25th October were down by 2.4% on the same week in 2024. This was followed by a 0.4% drop in the following seven days.

After solid year-on-year growth at the start of the month, drinks sales comparisons have now been negative for three weeks in a row.

Trading across the second half of October was held down by gloomy weather and consumers’ extra-tight attitude to disposable incomes ahead of the chancellor’s Budget on 26th November.

With increased menu prices factored in, drinks volumes in pubs and bars have been even further behind the levels of October 2024 — a sign that many people are cutting the frequency of their visits or the number of drinks they buy.  

The Tracker shows year-on-year sales were negative on 10 of the 14 days to 1st November, with the gap peaking at -11.7% on Sunday, 26th October — the day the clocks went back. There was brief respite on Halloween, which fell on a Friday this year and generated an upswing in drinks sales of 10.9%. 

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Halloween helped to create a rare period of growth for the spirits category, where sales in the week to 1st November climbed by 2.4% — though sales were down by 12.6% in the previous seven days. 

In other categories, beer (up 0.4% and down 1.3%) and cider (down 1.1% and down 0.7%) had a modest two weeks of trading, while wine was behind by 1.9% and 2.1%. Soft drinks also had a Halloween lift, with sales up by 1.6% in the week to 1st November after a 2.1% fall the previous week. 

“After a decent start to the autumn, a flat few weeks show how many consumers remain hesitant about their spending on drinking out,” said Rachel Weller, CGA by NIQ’s commercial lead, UK and Ireland.

“However, a burst of sales for Halloween shows they remain eager to celebrate big occasions together, raising hopes that the festive season will bring more groups of friends and family out into pubs and bars. 

“A lot now hinges on the Budget, and operators and suppliers will be keeping everything crossed that the chancellor eases the cost burden on businesses and brings in measures that encourage consumers to free up their spending.”

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